Influence Diagrams for Causal Modelling and Inference

We consider a variety of ways in which probabilistic and causal models can be represented in graphical form. By adding nodes to our graphs to represent parameters, decision, etc ., we obtain a generalisation of influence diagrams that supports meaningful causal modelling and inference, and only requires concepts and methods that are already standard in the purely probabilistic case. We relate our representations to others, particularly functional models, and present arguments and examples in favour of their superiority.     

Monitoring the Behaviour of Credit Card Holders with Graphical Chain Models

Consumer credit has become an enormous business in industrialized countries. Recently, finance agencies have started to develop new products aiming not only to widen their portfolio but also to keep active relationships with good clients already taken on file and to prevent bad clients from becoming a loss for the agency. As a result, models for the whole behaviour of the clients are necessary. They involve many related outcome variables, which altogether give a measure of whether the client revealed to be profitable or unprofitable. This paper aims to show the potential of graphical chain models in the described context.     

所得税会计处理相关问题的思考

所得税会计是企业会计活动的重要组成部分,会计方法的选择应体现会计准则与税法的双重要求。通过分析我国现行所得税会计处理方法,结合我国所得税会计工作的实际,利润表债务法仍应是目前的首选方法,对所得税费用应进行适度分摊。     

试论“高校财务微机管理系统”的功能与特点

本文介绍了“高校财务管理系统”的主要功能模块,并对提高系统速度,增强系统准确、可靠性等技术特点进行了论述。     

长城机在cdBASEⅢ状态下直接作图

本文介绍了利用 GWBIOS3.00提供的系统图形驱动文件 GRD.SYS,在cdBASEⅢ状态下直接作图的方法及常用命令格式。     

Integrating Uncertain Preferences into Status Quo Analysis with Applications to an Environmental Conflict

An algorithm is put forward to conduct status quo analysis when preference uncertainty exists for at least one decision maker (DM) in a strategic conflict. This research integrates into a unified framework two recent expansions of the graph model for conflict resolution, preference uncertainty and status quo analysis. Both of these developments enhance the applicability of the graph model, preference uncertainty by accommodating uncertainty in DMs' preferences and status quo analysis by addressing the dynamics of conflict. The combination of preference uncertainty and status quo analysis improves the flexibility of the graph model in both modelling and analysis. A new model of an environmental conflict is analyzed to demonstrate how the new algorithm can be applied.     

构造接近香农极限的低密度校验码

跨国公司在进行全球经营的过程中,势必面临不同文化的冲击,对其进行有效的跨文化管理,关系着其运营的成败。在进行管理的过程中,要分析成员不同文化背景及由此产生的个性特点,其次,要本着包容的态度去进行跨文化管理,建立本企业特点的文化管理,从而有针对性地采取具体管理对策。     

民间图形语言在毕业设计教学中的创新实践

将民间图形语言导入现代装饰艺术毕业设计教学,不仅可引导学生将民间艺术语言融入现代装饰设计理念中,还有助于弘扬民族文化。毕业设计教学实践中,教师不仅要指导学生发现民间美术图形的形式美感与精神内涵,更应启发学生的设计思路,掌握创新技巧,引导学生创作出既传承民俗又具现代装饰审美特征的优秀设计作品。     

定性分析的工具——探索图、循环图、结构图

本文提出了复杂科学管理系统思维的定性分析工具:探索图、循环图、结构图。探索图帮助人们进行视觉思考,体现知识、信息、想象、创造结合的过程,解决未知的、难以预测的一些决策问题;循环图从环状看因果;结构图利于人们进行结构化思维。它们不仅是定性分析的工具,也体现了一种新的思维方式——视觉思考、环状看因果、结构化思维。     

联图C_n∨K_(n-3,n)的全染色

Vizing和Behazd独立地提出了著名的全染色猜想(TCC):任何最大度为Δ的简单图都是Δ+2全可染的.文章通过图的边染色来探究图的全染色,证明了联图G=Cn∨Kn-3,n不仅满足全染色猜想,而且还是第一型的,即χ″(G)=Δ(G)+1.